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Green =best, Red = worse |
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Stats via EPL Index |
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Green =best, Red = worse |
![]() |
Stats via EPL Index |
At the moment, Norwich are sitting pretty in the Premier League, mid-table, safe by Easter and everything is going to plan. But look back two and a half seasons and we were 23rd in League One, having just been hammered 7-1 by Colchester on the opening day. That was inexplicably the turning point in the Canaries fortunes, as the club soon went on to overturn an 11 point deficit to beat Leeds United to the title by 9 points, then gain promotion to the Premier League a year later.
3rd May 2009.
A terrible day in Norwich’s history, yet one that set off a remarkable chain reaction. Norwich City lost 4-2 to a Charlton side on the final day of the season and were relegated to League One, the third tier of English football for the first time since 1960. A lacklustre performance by the yellows summed up our season. A lot of new signings were made by Bryan Gunn during the summer, one of whom was Grant Holt, a legend at the club. At that point, City were very, very close to going into administration and possibly liquidation, a truly dire situation. But we were bailed out, and look where we are now.
Paul Lambert was hired on the 18th of August, 2009, and we have never looked back since. He took a team low on confidence, of relatively poor quality and turned it into a back-to-back promotion winning team. Ironically, Norwich were promoted when they won 1-0 at Charlton, the same place they got relegated the season before. Football can be ironic like that. He made a lot of signings in the summer before the return to the Championship, one being midfield maestro David Fox who is so unbelievably underrated by the media it’s unreal. Without him in the team, Norwich lack the cutting edge needed and he keeps us ticking over in midfield, playing brilliant passes and winning vital duels.The 2nd of May, 2011, is the date that will go down in Norwich City’s history. When Cardiff lost 3-0 to Middlesbrough earlier in the day (we are indebted to you, Middlesbrough, and we thank you very much!), Norwich just needed a win at Fratton Park against Portsmouth to guarantee Premier League football next season. Elliot Ward went close, chances were missed, and it looked like that goal would never come. But, on the fiftieth minute, a delicious David Fox cross was met with a superb diving header by Simeon Jackson to send the 3,000 Norwich fans behind the goal into raptures.
At the start of this season, I predicted Norwich and Swansea to stay up comfortably, with QPR to be relegated. That looks like it may happen, and I’ll tell you the reasoning behind my predications.
Team Spirit.
Look at Norwich and Swansea, indeed they play good football, but they are also playing with confidence and looking like a team. Whereas QPR on the other hand, look like individuals playing for a move to a bigger club. Joey Barton and Djibril Cissé are names that are too big, I suppose, to play for a team that are fighting for survival. Norwich and Swansea have stuck with players that have a point to prove in the Premier League, and look how well we’re both doing.
It’s a pleasure being a Norwich fan, and I hope it continues.
Follow Callum on twitter: @calriv97
Seventeen games into their Premier League season, the team have managed to maintain their passing strategy to fantastic effect.
The evidence backs up just how effective their passing system has been in England’s top flight.
Firstly, the team have a possession record which is joint third best in the Premier League. The team average possession of 56% in each game which is a stat shared with Chelsea. Not only this, Swansea have a possession record which is better than, Manchester United, Liverpool and Tottenham. This is outstanding. The Swans have pitted their wits in England’s highest league and yet they can still retain the ball. The players, managers and coaches deserve huge praise for their mental strength and belief in their way of playing. After all, some teams in the Premier League, have often discarded their philosophy because of the pressure the opponents are putting them under on the pitch.
There is more glorious evidence of the effectiveness of Swansea’s philosophy. So far, Swansea have the third best passing accuracy in the whole of the Premier League. The Swans of passing accuracy of 86.5%, Chelsea shade Swansea in second place by 0.30%. It’s pretty incredible. Swansea have a better passing accuracy than the league champions Manchester United and arguably, ‘the best passing side’ in England Arsenal.
What makes this more incredible is that Swansea are a newly promoted side and many of their players have not played Premier League football before. Not only this, the Premier League is played at an incredibly high tempo most of the time, yet Swansea have managed to keep a cool head and maintain their accuracy. It shows Swansea’s system was built for the Premier League and the highest levels. After all, the philosophy is evidently working. The team are passing more accurately than far more established Premier League sides.
However, Swansea need to be praised for effectively executing their philosophy. After all, its one thing to attempt to play attractive keep -ball football and it’s another to actually be able to do it. Swansea to their credit have managed to implement it. Most clubs, pay multi millions in players, coaches and managers in the dream of playing like Swansea. But very shrewdly, Swansea have managed to be able to execute it without having the most technically gifted players in the world.
The Swans compensate the lack of sheer technical excellence in the side through working incredibly hard. A clear example of this is the defensive work of Swansea’s wingers. Although their system demands the wingers to be on-top of their game offensively, Swansea’s wingers, Nathan Dyer and Wayne Routledge track back ferociously to win the ball. Against Newcastle, Routledge made 5 tackles, four were successful. Collectively Swansea are hungry and motivated to succeed in the Premier League. This has been an underlying reason as to why the team’s system has been so impressive.
Furthermore, this determination to win the ball back has made Swansea so hard to be break down. So far, the Swans have conceded 21 goals. This is a decent record for a newly promoted side. It’s better than the other two promoted sides, Norwich (31 goals conceded) and QPR. (31) This solid defensive record also links very closely to Swansea’s ball retention ability. After all, the opposition struggle to get the ball back from The Swans, let alone get a chance on goal.
There is evidence of Swansea’s solid defensive record. Swansea have the best defensive home record in the Premier League. After 8 home games, the team have only conceded 2 goals. This is nothing short of outstanding. Swansea’s home record is as solid as any established Premier League side. It’s almost unheard of that a promoted side can have such a sturdy defence at home. Most promoted sides often make woeful defensive lapses. But this has not been the case with Swansea. The team look competent, solid and cohesive as a collective unit.
But the simple maths will tell you 18 out of 20 of Swansea’s goals have been conceded on the road. The team are clearly not as strong on the road as they are at home. On the road, Swansea struggle to restrict the amount of chances the opposition create. This has been a leading factor as to why the team have struggled to win a single game on the road.
At the moment, the team are seriously craving players with Premier League experience.
The lack of experience has cost Swansea points on the road. For example their away game at Wolves. For most of the game Swansea were two up and in control, but when the momentum was with opposition, the Swans crumbled and surrendered their two goal lead. If the team had more Premier League experience it would lead to the team feeling more assured and restricting the team falling deeper into their own half, thus asking for the opposition to attack Swansea.
Another reason why Swansea have been so poor on the road is because the team have struggled to create sufficient chances. This season, Swansea have created 151 chances, which is the 4th worst in the Premier League. What makes this statistic worse for Swansea is the team normally spend most of the game in possession of the ball. But even when dominating possession, the team struggle to consistently penetrate the final third of the pitch.
However, over time, the team will create more chances per game. After all, as the team’s philosophy develops and the teams coherence grows, the Swan’s tentative mindset will transform into confidence. But this confidence will take a massive boost if Swansea manage to bring in more technically gifted attacking players. Swansea are missing someone who can create something out of nothing. Yes, Mark Gower has been fantastic in the middle. But if the Swans are to create more chances, more creative players are needed within the side.
This struggle to create chances explains why Swansea have not scored enough goals this season. Swansea have scored 16 goals this season, which is the second worst in the league. However, if Swansea could create more chances, the goals which will eventually flow in. But the Swans have also been guilty of missing clear cut chances. Take Swansea’s game at home to Man United. The likes of Scot Sinclair missed guilt edged chances which perhaps cost the club at least a point in that game.
Besides this, Swansea have been a great addition to the Premier League. The team have been a joy to watch and look completely at home in England’s highest division. Indeed, the team may not have taken the Premier League by storm. But the Swans have made a lasting first impression on many.
Long may the Swansea revolution continue.
Statistics from EPL Index. (Stats taken on 22/12/11)
Northampton Town are a confusing club to get to grips with. With a wealthy benefactor and a healthy fanbase, this club has bags of potential, yet for some reason they find themselves continually locked in a battle for Football League survival.
Northampton are something of an enigma; a forward-thinking club reduced to looking over its shoulder at the abyss of the Conference.
When David Cardoza and his pot of money arrived at Northampton in 2003 they were labelled 'the Chelsea of League Two'. At a time when other Football League clubs were frantically trying to slash budgets, Northampton were throwing money at anyone who would take it. However, eight and a half years later all Cardoza has to show for his investment is a meagre three seasons of League One football, all of which must seem like a long time ago now. The club is currently fighting to stay in the same division it was in eight years ago.
Perhaps the root of Northampton's troubles is short-termism and lack of a defined long-term strategy. Since Colin Calderwood left to take over at Nottingham Forest in 2006 Northampton have had five managers, none of whom have fared particularly well. With a high turnover of managers and a revolving door of players which inevitably follows as each new boss tries to bring in their own staff. It was this which almost cost Northampton their place in the Football League last season, when Gary Johnson arrived at Sixfields with a thud. He immediately criticised the club's players in the press and undermined the side's already-fragile confidence, triggering a spectacular collapse of form which saw Northampton only secure safety in the penultimate match of the season.
Having narrowly survived relegation last season Northampton began rebuilding during the summer. Johnson presided over a clearout and was given funds to replace the entire squad for this campaign, bringing in marquee signings such as Adebayo Akinfenwa (back for a second spell at the club), Jake Robinson and Arron Davies. It was made clear before the season began that Johnson had been backed to assemble a promotion-winning side and hopes were understandably high amongst the Cobblers faithful, but so far this season has been no better than the one that preceded it.
Early results suggested that the side wasn't ready for a promotion push, with home reverses to Cheltenham and Morecambe coming within the first month of the season. As results gradually deteriorated and the Cobblers began to sink towards the bottom, Gary Johnson's behaviour got gradually more erratic; selling star signing Shaun Harrad on transfer deadline day amid rumours of a physical altercation between the two, then retreating to the dugout during home games and refusing to patrol the technical area, and finally placing ten first team players on the transfer list. Defeat to non-league Luton Town in the FA Cup capped a run of six defeats in seven matches and cost Johnson his job.
What followed has really set alarm bells ringing in Northamptonshire, as a rudderless Cobblers were smashed 7-2 at home to Shrewsbury and followed that up with a 4-1 defeat at the hands of basement side Plymouth Argyle to leave them slumped in 21st place, just 3 points above the dreaded relegation zone. Northampton's poor start to the season has left their team demoralised and totally lacking in organisation and so far they have been getting consistently worse. What the club need most from a new manager is someone to reinvigorate the current players and spread some positivity through the changing room, identify transfer targets for January, improve organisation and leadership and stop the defence from leaking so many goals.
This is why Aidy Boothroyd was appointed as manager a week and a half ago. He is the perfect match for Northampton. Boothroyd has previous successful experience at clubs in similar difficulties, having steered Watford from troubled waters and onto promotion to the Premier League in his first job in management. His upbeat and positive demeanour would seem to be just what is required to boost spirits in what must be a pretty demoralised squad of players and perhaps Boothroyd will be able to instil some confidence back into the team. Boothroyd's style of football has often been subject to criticism (they don't call him 'Hoofroyd' for nothing!), but he has always made it clear that he is a results man first and foremost. Entertainment is a luxury that Northampton can ill afford in their perilous position.
Northampton fans who may feel uneasy about using such tactics need look no further than their own history for a justification. Ian Atkins, renowned for his ugly but effective brand of football, managed the club for four successful years, earning promotion from the fourth tier and competing right at the top of the second. In later years he carved out quite the reputation for saving clubs from relegation against all the odds – coming within a whisker of pulling off the most unlikely great escape at Chester in 2000, saving Carlisle from the drop in 2001, and pulling off a miracle escape with Torquay in 2006. Northampton fans must hope that Boothroyd can achieve similar results.
No matter what methods employed.
This piece was written by Matt Bruce, you can follow him on his Twitter - @tbfuth, You can find Matt’s blog here too: theboysfromupthehill
It’s the final Premier League week. But, there is still plenty to fight for. The relegation spots are by no means a done deal. Birmingham, Wolves, Wigan, Blackpool, and Blackburn could all join West Ham in the Championship next season.
This week, our predictors are, James Taylor and Liam Blackburn.
Fixture | Ibby Akkas prediction | James Taylor prediction | Liam Blackburn prediction | Actual Result | |||
Aston Villa v Liverpool | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | |||
Bolton v Man City | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | |||
Everton v Chelsea | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |||
Fulham v Arsenal | 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 | |||
Man United v Blackpool | 3-1 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 4-2 | |||
Newcastle v West Brom | 2-1 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 3-3 | |||
Stoke v Wigan | 2-1 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | |||
Tottenham v Birmingham | 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 2-1 | |||
West Ham v Sunderland | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-3 | |||
Wolves v Blackburn | 2-0 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 2-3 | |||
Total Correct Scores | Correct Results - 4 | Perfect Results - 0 | Correct Results - 4 | Perfect Results - 0 | Correct Results - 4 | Perfect Results - 0 |
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The Point System
Correct Result = 1 point
Perfect Result = 3 points
You can follow James Taylor on his Twitter - @James11Taylor
Take a look at his blog too - bringingthegameintodisrepute.wordpress.com
Our other predictor is on Twitter too - @liamblackburn
His blog is definitely worth read as well! - samenamedifferentgames.wordpress.com
Things you may like to read
Premier League relegation predictions - http://tiny.cc/y943d
Stoke City – The symbol of progression - http://tiny.cc/azbvf
Why it’s only right Kenny Dalglish got the Liverpool job - http://tiny.cc/ttj43
// technoaryi